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304-Interpreting the Numbers
Course 304:
Interpreting the Numbers
In the preceding three lessons, we discussed each of the three main financial
statements. You learned about the different components of the income statement
and how to determine if a company is profitable. We talked about the
distinction between assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity and where to
find them on the balance sheet. Finally, we went over the statement of cash
flows to figure how much cash a company uses or makes from its operating,
investing, and financing activities.
But now that you have this knowledge about each of the financial statements,
how do you, as an investor, use it?
In this lesson we'll apply what you've learned so far in a process called
financial statement analysis. Financial statement analysis looks to explain,
often through financial ratios, the important relationships among the
different numbers included in the financial statements. The ultimate goal of
financial statement and ratio analysis is to help you interpret the numbers
and come up with a clear picture of a company's financial performance and
condition.
Before we jump in, we should inform you that the following ratios are for
non-financial companies only. Financial companies, such as banks or insurance
companies, have unique characteristics. As a result, their financial
statements look much different than those of most other companies.
How to Use Financial Ratios
We've touched on some of the ratios mentioned here in earlier lessons, but
this lesson will give you a comprehensive look at the most important numbers
to key in on. Some ratios can be useful by themselves. Others are completely
useless when considered without context. Typically, financial ratios provide
the most benefit when they are compared with other identical ratios.
A company's ratios are used comparatively in two main fashions: over time and
against other companies. Comparing the same ratios for a firm over time is a
great way to identify a company's trends. If certain ratios are steadily
improving, it may suggest an improvement in a company's operations or
financial situation; conversely, if certain ratios seem to be getting worse,
it may highlight some troubling prospects about the firm.
It's also important to compare a company's ratios against those of others in
the industry. A company's ratios may be improving over time, but how do they
stack up against their peers' ratios? If they aren't as rosy as those of
competitors, this may indicate that the company isn't as well positioned or
managed as well as other industry players.
At Morningstar, we evaluate many ratios as we perform our analyses. Four of
the major types we consider are efficiency, liquidity, leverage, and
profitability ratios. As we describe some of the main ratios within each
category, we'll discuss what each one attempts to measure and what changes in
them may indicate.
Efficiency Ratios
No matter what kind of business a company is in, it must invest in assets to
perform its operations. Efficiency ratios measure how effectively the company
utilizes these assets, as well as how well it manages its liabilities.
Inventory Turnover. Inventory turnover illustrates how well a company manages
its inventory levels. If inventory turnover is too low, it suggests that a
company may be overstocking or overbuilding its inventory or that it may be
having issues selling products to customers. All else equal, higher inventory
turnover is better.
Inventory Turnover = (Cost of Sales) / (Average Inventory)
Accounts Receivable Turnover. The accounts receivable turnover ratio measures
how effective the company's credit policies are. If accounts receivable
turnover is too low, it may indicate the company is being too generous
granting credit or is having difficulty collecting from its customers. All
else equal, higher receivable turnover is better.
Accounts Receivable Turnover = Revenue / (Average Accounts Receivable)
Accounts Payable Turnover. You'll notice that the accounts payable turnover
ratio uses a liability in the equation rather than an asset, as well as an
expense rather than revenue. Accounts payable turnover is important because it
measures how a company manages paying its own bills. High accounts payable
turnover may be a signal that a firm isn't receiving very favorable payment
terms from its own suppliers. All else equal, lower payable turnover is
better.
Accounts Payable Turnover = (Cost of Sales) / (Average Accounts Payable)
Total Asset Turnover. Total asset turnover is a catch-all efficiency ratio
that highlights how effective management is at using both short-term and
long-term assets. All else equal, the higher the total asset turnover, the
better.
Total Asset Turnover = (Revenue) / (Average Total Assets)
Liquidity Ratios
In a nutshell, a company's liquidity is its ability to meet its near-term
obligations, and it is a major measure of financial health.
Liquidity can be measured through several ratios.
Current ratio. The current ratio is the most basic liquidity test. It
signifies a company's ability to meet its short-term liabilities with its
short-term assets. A current ratio greater than or equal to one indicates that
current assets should be able to satisfy near-term obligations. A current
ratio of less than one may mean the firm has liquidity issues.
Current Ratio = (Current Assets) / Current Liabilities
Quick Ratio. The quick ratio is a tougher test of liquidity than the current
ratio. It eliminates certain current assets such as inventory and prepaid
expenses that may be more difficult to convert to cash. Like the current
ratio, having a quick ratio above one means a company should have little
problem with liquidity. The higher the ratio, the more liquid it is, and the
better able the company will be to ride out any downturn in its business.
Quick Ratio = (Cash Accounts Receivable Short-Term or Marketable
Securities) / (Current Liabilities)
Cash Ratio. The cash ratio is the most conservative liquidity ratio of all. It
only measures the ability of a firm's cash, along with investments that are
easily converted into cash, to pay its short-term obligations. Along with the
quick ratio, a higher cash ratio generally means the company is in better
financial shape.
Cash Ratio = (Cash Short-Term or Marketable Securities) / (Current
Liabilities)
Leverage Ratios
A company's leverage relates to how much debt it has on its balance sheet, and
it is another measure of financial health. Generally, the more debt a company
has, the riskier its stock is, since debtholders have first claim to a
company's assets. This is important because, in extreme cases, if a company
becomes bankrupt, there may be nothing left over for its stockholders after
the company has satisfied its debtholders.
Debt/Equity. The debt/equity ratio measures how much of the company is
financed by its debtholders compared with its owners. A company with a ton of
debt will have a very high debt/equity ratio, while one with little debt will
have a low debt/equity ratio. Assuming everything else is identical, companies
with lower debt/equity ratios are less risky than those with higher such
ratios.
Debt/Equity = (Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt) / Total Equity
Interest Coverage. If a company borrows money in the form of debt, it most
likely incurs interest charges on it. (Money isn't free, after all!) The
interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to meet its interest
obligations with income earned from the firm's primary source of business.
Again, higher interest coverage ratios are typically better, and interest
coverage close to or less than one means the company has some serious
difficulty paying its interest.
Interest Coverage = (Operating Income) / (Interest Expense)
Profitability Ratios
How good is a company at running its business? Does its performance seem to be
getting better or worse? Is it making any money? How profitable is it compared
with its competitors? All of these very important questions can be answered by
analyzing profitability ratios.
Gross Margin. You'll recall from our earlier discussion of the income
statement that gross profit is simply the difference between a company's sales
of goods or services and how much it must pay to provide those goods or
services. Gross margin is simply the amount of each dollar of sales that a
company keeps in the form of gross profit, and it is usually stated in
percentage terms. The higher the gross margin, the more of a premium a company
charges for its goods or services. Keep in mind that companies in different
industries may have vastly different gross margins.
Gross Margin = (Gross Profit) / (Sales)
Operating Margin. Operating margin captures how much a company makes or loses
from its primary business per dollar of sales. It is a much more complete and
accurate indicator of a company's performance than gross margin, since it
accounts for not only the cost of sales but also the other important
components of operating income we discussed in Lesson 301, such as marketing
and other overhead expenses.
Operating Margin = (Operating Income or Loss) / Sales
Net Margin.
Net margin considers how much of the company's revenue it keeps when all
expenses or other forms of income have been considered, regardless of their
nature. While net margin is important to take note of, net income often
contains quite a bit of "noise," both good and bad, which does not really have
much to do with a company's core business.
Net Margin = (Net Income or Loss) / Sales
Free Cash Flow Margin. In Lesson 303, we discussed the concept and importance
of free cash flow. The free cash flow margin simply measures how much per
dollar of revenue management is able to convert into free cash flow.
Free Cash Flow Margin = (Free Cash Flow) / Sales
Return on Assets (ROA). Return on assets measures a company's ability to turn
assets into profit. (This may sound similar to the total assets turnover ratio
discussed earlier, but total assets turnover measures how effectively a
company's assets generate revenue.)
Return on Assets = (Net Income Aftertax Interest Expense) / (Average Total
Assets)
You'll notice that we are adding back the company's aftertax interest expense
to net income in the calculation. Why is that? Return on assets measures the
profitability a company achieves on all of its assets, regardless if they are
financed by equity holders or debtholders; therefore, we add back in what the
debtholders are charging the company to borrow money. Why are we adding
interest back in on an "aftertax" basis? Interest expense is one of the many
line items that are either added to or subtracted from revenue to calculate
the pretax income amount. This pretax income amount is then taxed to come up
with net income. Thus, when the income-reducing effect of interest expense is
ultimately filtered down to net income, it is on an aftertax basis.
A company's aftertax interest expense is easy to determine. First, determine
its tax rate by dividing its income tax expense by its pretax income. Then
plug that figure into the following formula: Aftertax Interest Expense = (1 -
Tax Rate) x (Interest Expense)
Return on assets is generally stated in percentage terms, and higher is
better, all else equal.
Return on Equity (ROE). Return on equity is a straightforward ratio that
measures a company's return on its investment by shareholders. Like all of the
profitability ratios we've discussed, it is usually stated in percentage
terms, and higher is better.
Return on Equity = (Net Income) / (Average Shareholders' Equity)
The Bottom Line
In this lesson, we began to apply what we had learned about the financial
statements in the previous three lessons. We talked about the use of financial
ratios and the importance of considering them in a comparative context. We
covered several types of ratios, including efficiency, liquidity, leverage,
and profitability ratios. By studying the concepts outlined above and
completing the exercises that follow, you'll be well on your way toward
understanding how to interpret a company's financial statements and analyzing
a company for investment purposes.
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