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205-Economic Moats
Course 205:
Economic Moats
In earlier lessons of this series, we introduced the concept of an economic
moat and the role it plays in identifying whether a business will stand the
test of time. To define, an economic moat is a long-term competitive advantage
that allows a company to earn oversized profits over time. Quite simply,
companies with a wide moat will create value for themselves and their
shareholders over the long haul, and these are the companies you should focus
your attention on.
The term "moat" in regard to finance was coined by one of our favorite
investors of all time, Warren Buffett, who realized that companies that reward
investors over the long term most often have a durable competitive advantage.
Assessing that advantage involves understanding what kind of defense, or
competitive barrier, the company has been able to build for itself in its
industry.
Moats are important from an investment perspective because any time a company
develops a useful product or service, it isn't long before other firms try to
capitalize on that opportunity by producing a similar--if not better--product.
Basic economic theory says that in a perfectly competitive market, rivals will
eventually eat up any excess profits earned by a successful business. In other
words, competition makes it difficult for most firms to generate strong growth
and profits over an extended period of time since any advantage is always at
risk of imitation. The strength and sustainability of a company's economic
moat will determine whether the firm will be able to prevent a competitor from
taking business away or eroding its earnings.
How to Build a Moat
There are a number of ways a company can build a sustainable competitive
advantage in its industry. Among the more qualitative measures commonly used
to assess a firm's economic moat:
Creating real or perceived product differentiation
Driving costs down and being a low-cost leader
Locking in customers by creating high switching costs
Locking out competitors by creating high barriers to entry or high barriers
to success
Thankfully we've been able to whittle down all of the types of advantages in
the marketplace. In Lesson 204, we identified the four main types of economic
moats, and below we provide a bit more detail, using examples. The more types
of moats a company can build, the better.
Low-Cost Producer or Economies of Scale
Companies that can deliver their goods or services at a low cost, typically
from economies of scale, have a distinct competitive advantage because they
can undercut their rivals on price. Likewise, companies with low costs can
price their products at the same level as competitors, but make a higher
profit while doing so.
This type of moat creates a significant barrier to entry, since a
prohibitively large amount of capital is often required to achieve a size
needed to be competitive in a market.
Dell
Dell's DELL success is due to the company's famous build-to-order direct-sales
business model, which eliminates expensive middlemen, lowers working-capital
investments, and provides real-time market information to management. The
direct model's low-overhead advantage allows Dell to undercut rivals without
sacrificing features or profitability. The firm has consistently improved
margins and increased revenue, in good times and bad, by replicating the model
across several new markets. Most recently the firm has moved into consumer
electronics, which is typically a lower-profit-margin market. But given Dell's
low-cost structure, it may succeed here as well. Along the way, Dell's
competitive advantage in building computers, servers, and notebooks at the
lowest possible prices has made life extremely difficult for other
manufacturers, particularly Gateway GTW and HP Compaq HPQ. The cyclicality of
the IT industry carries some risks, but Dell's robust cash flow and strong
balance sheet help mitigate those risks.
Wal-Mart
Wal-Mart WMT is perhaps the most salient example of a company benefiting from
economies of scale, and for good reason. As a dominant player in retailing,
the company's size provides it with enormous efficiencies that it uses to keep
costs low. For example, its size allows Wal-Mart to do its own purchasing more
efficiently since it has roughly 5,000 large stores worldwide. This gives the
company tremendous bargaining power with its suppliers.
Not only does it get its products cheaper, but its size allows it more
inexpensive distribution. In addition, it has an enormous amount of
information concerning consumer likes and dislikes, and it can spread its best
practices across its entire store base.
To see economies of scale in action, let's assume that Wal-Mart can acquire a
DVD from a supplier for $5, while it costs one of Wal-Mart's smaller
competitors $6. It also costs Wal-Mart $4 to distribute the DVD and pay for
the overhead costs of the stores, while it costs the smaller competitor $5 to
do the same. Wal-Mart can then sell the DVD for $9.50, and still make a $0.50
profit. The smaller competitor can't charge that little, because at a cost of
$11 per DVD, it would be losing money.
High Switching Costs
Switching costs are those one-time inconveniences or expenses a customer
incurs in order to switch over from one product to another, and they can make
for a very powerful moat. Companies that make it tough for customers to switch
to a competitor are in a position to increase prices year after year to
deliver hefty profits. Companies aim to create high switching costs in order
to "lock in" customers. The more customers are locked in, the more likely a
company can pass along added costs to them without risking customer loss to a
competitor.
Autodesk
Autodesk ADSK dominates architecture and construction-design software with its
market-leading AutoCAD product. With roughly 6 million loyal users, it has a
wide economic moat--high switching costs make it tough for customers to get
comparable products elsewhere or do their jobs without the help of Autodesk.
Because customers are essentially required to understand its software to be
successful in their careers, it is nearly impossible for competitors to take
meaningful market share from Autodesk.
Autodesk's software is also relatively affordable, making it somewhat immune
when the economy turns south. While some software costs millions of dollars,
Autodesk's products cost much less; the initial price of AutoCAD is only a few
thousand dollars. This makes the company less susceptible to cutbacks in
information-technology spending. In addition, using its software reduces
expenses by shortening the design and manufacturing processes. The firm has
also incorporated subscription sales, which add more predictability to its
business model and further "lock in" its customers. As with many technology
companies, uncertainty remains regarding its new product development cycle and
adoption of new products, but Autodesk's committed customer base give the firm
a wide economic moat.
Citigroup
If you've ever taken the time to move all of your account information from one
bank to another, you know what a hassle it can be. Even if another bank is
offering the same services for $1 less per month or maybe a slightly higher
interest rate on deposits, is all the extra effort needed to switch really
worth it?
You may also want to look at your wallet and think about your credit cards.
How long have you had some of those cards, and why do you keep them? Surely a
better deal could be had elsewhere. But perhaps you have built up
frequent-flier miles on your cards, have your utility bills automatically
charged, or enjoy the familiarity that having the same account for a long time
offers.
Clearly, banks and credit card companies enjoy the benefits of the high
switching costs their customers would incur by leaving. As the largest credit
card issuer in the world, Citigroup C is one of the beneficiaries. It is also
worth noting that Citigroup enjoys switching costs across a large number of
its other financial services businesses, making for an impressive firmwide
moat.
The Network Effect
The network effect occurs when the value of a particular good or service
increases for both new and existing users as more people use that good or
service. It can also occur when other firms design products that complement an
existing product, thereby enhancing that product's value. The network effect
is arguably one of the most potent competitive advantages, and it can also
quickly catapult firms to the lead in new industries.
Adobe
Like Autodesk, Adobe ADBE actually enjoys two economic moats. The firm's
Acrobat software has become the standard for reading and creating documents
electronically. Because customers, such as graphic designers, are trained
early in their careers to use products like Photoshop and Illustrator, it's
nearly impossible for competitors to take meaningful market share. High
switching costs make it tough for customers to get comparable products
elsewhere or do their job without Adobe.
As if switching costs weren't enough, Adobe also benefits from the network
effect. With more than 500 million copies downloaded, Acrobat has a foothold
on computer desktops everywhere. As its network effect increases, and more
designers and readers use Adobe's software, its position as a standard-bearer
grows.
eBay
When the online auction market was just getting started, eBay EBAY was the
largest. As the site with the most sellers, it had the widest selection of
products. This attracted the most buyers. Because it had the most buyers, it
attracted more sellers.
The cycle just continued to feed on itself, and now eBay is essentially the
only real online auction site of size. It was able to capture this position
even though some large, well-known, and well-financed Internet companies such
as Yahoo YHOO and Amazon AMZN tried to make a frontal assault on eBay in the
late 1990s with very little success.
Intangible Assets
This category incorporates several types of competitive advantages including
intellectual property rights (patents, trademarks, and copyrights), government
approvals, brand names, a unique company culture, or a geographic advantage.
It may be difficult to assess the durability of some of these advantages, so
be sure you have a grasp of how long this type of competitive advantage might
last. Brand equity, for example, can be damaged or slowly erode over time,
while government approval can be revoked. Try to understand how susceptible a
firm might be should this kind of advantage be disrupted.
Moody's
Moody's MCO plays an important role in the capital markets by evaluating the
risk associated with borrowers and debt instruments. The rating process is
hardly ever easy. The federal government has created a designation--nationally
recognized statistical rating organization--that a company must acquire before
moving into the market. Achieving this designation is very challenging,
meaning that the rating business is basically a government-sanctioned
oligopoly with a limited number of competitors.
The government protection Moody's enjoys is virtually priceless. Operating
profit margins have been higher than 50% over the past couple of years, thanks
to growth in international and structured finance, where pricing is especially
sweet. These high margins lead to excellent cash flow from operations. The
company requires very little in the way of capital investment, so its leverage
is low and free cash flow is strong.
Harley-Davidson
Anytime people are willing to tattoo a company's logo onto their arms, it is a
surefire sign of a powerful brand. The firm, the only continuous survivor from
the original American motorcycle industry, is more than 100 years old. The
brand built over this time has allowed Harley HDI dealers to sell motorcycles
at or above manufacturer's suggested retail price for years. Despite selling
essentially the same steel, chrome, and rubber as its competitors, it can
charge premium prices for its products. And as we'll see in later lessons,
Harley's brand has translated into solid financial results for the company.
The Bottom Line
While having these four types of moats, or competitive advantages, as
guidelines is helpful, there is still a lot of art to determining whether a
firm has a moat. At the heart of it, the harder it is for a firm's advantage
to be imitated, the more likely it is to have a barrier to entry in its
industry and a defensible source of profit.
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