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102-The Magic of Compounding [come from Morning Start]
Course 102:
The Magic of Compounding
When you were a kid, perhaps one of your friends asked you the following trick
question: "Would you rather have $10,000 per day for 30 days or a penny that
doubled in value every day for 30 days?" Today, we know to choose the doubling
penny, because at the end of 30 days, we'd have about $5 million versus the
$300,000 we'd have if we chose $10,000 per day. Compound interest is often
called the eighth wonder of the world, because it seems to possess magical
powers, like turning a penny into $5 million. The great part about compound
interest is that it applies to money, and it helps us to achieve our financial
goals, such as becoming a millionaire, retiring comfortably, or being
financially independent.
The Components of Compound Interest
A dollar invested at a 10% return will be worth $1.10 in a year. Invest that
$1.10 and get 10% again, and you'll end up with $1.21 two years from your
original investment. The first year earned you only $0.10, but the second
generated $0.11. This is compounding at its most basic level: gains begetting
more gains. Increase the amounts and the time involved, and the benefits of
compounding become much more pronounced.
Compound interest can be calculated using the following formula:
FV = PV (1 i)^N
FV = Future Value (the amount you will have in the future)
PV = Present Value (the amount you have today)
i = Interest (your rate of return or interest rate earned)
N = Number of Years (the length of time you invest)
Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?
As a fun way to learn about compound interest, let's examine a few different
ways to become a millionaire. First we'll look at a couple of investors and
how they have chosen to accumulate $1 million.
1. Jack saves $25,000 per year for 40 years.
2. Jeff starts with $1 and doubles his money each year for 20 years.
While most would love to be able to save $25,000 every year like Jack, this is
too difficult for most of us. If we earn an average of $50,000 per year, we
would have to save 50% of our salary!
In the second example, Jeff uses compound interest, invests only $1, and earns
100% on his money for 20 consecutive years. The magic of compound interest has
made it easy for Jeff to earn his $1 million and to do it in only half the
time as Jack. However, Jeff's example is also a little unrealistic since very
few investments can earn 100% in any given year, much less for 20 consecutive
years.
TIP: A simple way to know the time it takes for money to double is to use the
rule of 72. For example, if you wanted to know how many years it would take
for an investment earning 12% to double, simply divide 72 by 12, and the
answer would be approximately six years. The reverse is also true. If you
wanted to know what interest rate you would have to earn to double your money
in five years, then divide 72 by five, and the answer is about 15%.
Time Is on Your Side
Between the two extremes of Jeff and Jack, there are realistic situations in
which compound interest helps the average individual. One of the key concepts
about compounding is this: The earlier you start, the better off you'll be. So
what are you waiting for?
Let's consider the case of two other investors, Luke and Walt, who'd also like
to become millionaires. Say Luke put $2,000 per year into the market between
the ages of 24 and 30, that he earned a 12% aftertax return, and that he
continued to earn 12% per year until he retired at age 65. Walt also put in
$2,000 per year, earned the same return, but waited until he was 30 to start
and continued to invest $2,000 per year until he retired at age 65. In the
end, both would end up with about $1 million. However, Luke had to invest only
$12,000 (i.e., $2,000 for six years), while Walt had to invest $72,000 ($2,000
for 36 years) or six times the amount that Walt invested, just for waiting
only six years to start investing.
Clearly, investing early can be at least as important as the actual amount
invested over a lifetime. Therefore, to truly benefit from the magic of
compounding, it's important to start investing early. We can't stress this
fact enough! After all, it's not just how much money you start with that
counts, it's also how much time you allow that money to work for you.
In our first example, Jack had to save $25,000 a year for 40 years to reach $1
million without the benefit of compound interest. Luke and Walt, however, were
each able to become millionaires by saving only $12,000 and $72,000,
respectively, in relatively modest $2,000 increments. Luke and Walt earned
$988,000 and $928,000, respectively, due to compound interest. Gains beget
gains, which beget even larger gains. This is again the magic of compound
interest.
Why Is Compound Interest Important to Stock Investing?
In addition to the amount you invest and an early start, the rate of return
you earn from investing is also crucial. The higher the rate, the more money
you'll have later. Let's assume that Luke from our previous example had two
sisters who, at age 24, also began saving $2,000 a year for six years. But
unlike Luke, who earned 12%, sister Charlotte earned only 8%, while sister
Rose did not make good investment decisions and earned only 4%. When they all
retired at age 65, Luke would have $1,074,968, Charlotte would have $253,025,
and Rose would have only $56,620. Even though Luke earned only 8 percentage
points more per year on his investments, or $160 per year more on the initial
$2,000 investment, he would end up with about 20 times more money than Rose.
Clearly, a few percentage points in investment returns or interest rates can
mean a huge difference in your future wealth. Therefore, while stocks may be a
riskier investment in the short run, in the long run the rewards can certainly
outweigh the risks.
The Bottom Line
Compound interest can help you attain your goals in life. In order to use it
most effectively, you should start investing early, invest as much as
possible, and attempt to earn a reasonable rate of return.
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